IdEP-IFIN Seminar, Omar Rachedi - "Robot Adoption and Inflation Dynamics"

Istituto di economia politica

Data: 4 Dicembre 2023 / 12:30 - 13:30

Red Room (main building - Executive Center), Università della Svizzera italiana, Campus Ovest Lugano

We leverage variation in robot adoption across U.S. metropolitan areas and document that automation reduces the sensitivity of inflation to unemployment. To rationalize this finding, we build a New Keynesian model with search frictions in which low-frequency movements in automation flatten the Phillips curve. The key channel is the option value of automation: the threat of automating labor tasks alters workers' bargaining power, muting the wage sensitivity to unemployment. We validate the relevance of this channel in the data by showing that robot adoption reduces relatively more the sensitivity of inflation to unemployment in highly unionized metropolitan areas.

Omar Rachedi
Associate Professor at Esade Business School